Genevieve Cullen, president of the Electric Drive Transportation Association, on lobbying Senators to save EV and battery incentives in the “Big Beautiful” budget bill What’s the potential impact on the EV market–and new manufacturing that's gone to support it–if the changes as currently written in the beautiful budget bill are enacted? Lots of folks in the industry and analysts have pointed to the fact that, and some numbers might be different, but the impact is negative. There could be a pretty significant capital dislocation, sort of stranding the investments that have already been made and stalling ones that are on the horizon. That also has a cascading effect on all of the jobs and economic development that flow from those investments. That's why we're looking for a ramp, not a cliff. There are multiple federal incentives for consumers and manufacturers to buy and make EVs and batteries. If just the consumer tax credit were cut, would that be acceptable? We see them as all of a piece. The consumer elements in this suite of incentives are why that manufacturing is being built. Production follows markets. We think that there should be a reasonable transition for all of the credits. The EDTA is lobbying Republican Senators to preserve EV-related incentives. What’s the response so far? What people are willing to say is that we want something reasonable. We're looking to support these investments in our states. What exactly that looks like and what, as it goes through the grinder, we'll see. But certainly, a good handful of senators have indicated that they are aware of the importance of a reasonable approach to this realignment. Is President Trump’s effort to eliminate California’s Clean Air Act waivers and its push to require EV sales an additional problem for the industry? The California market is the biggest in the country and it's one of the biggest ones in the world. The California market will continue to play a big role, and that state will continue to use all of its policy levers to advance electrification. And I do think other states will try to step up to address the void that some of these policies are creating, in terms of leadership in the EV marketplace. April EV sales in the U.S. appear to be down for the first time in 14 months. Tesla’s sales decline contributes to that but are there other factors at work? It just shows what we've all been saying: Uncertainty is bad for markets. There's a lot of noise around the consumer credits and will they be able to claim them? People aren't sure and the dealers don't know. The endless uncertainty does have a dampening effect. In the end, the market will continue to move forward. The question is just how fast. Certainly, a 360-degree negative onslaught of policy would slow things. |