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Daily News Brief

June 16, 2025

Welcome to CFR’s Daily News Brief. Today we’re covering Israel and Iran’s ongoing hostilities, as well as...

  • The G7’s opening in Canada
  • The terms of Nippon Steel’s merger with U.S. Steel
  • Political unrest in the United States
 
 

Top of the Agenda

As Israel and Iran continued their attacks over the weekend, U.S. President Donald Trump said the United States “could get involved” in the conflict. Attacks have killed at least twenty-four people in Israel and at least 224 in Iran, according to authorities on each side; more senior Iranian officials were among them. 

 

The latest. While U.S.-Iran nuclear talks slated for the weekend were cancelled, Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Aragchi said yesterday that Tehran still sought a deal. Trump said he hoped an agreement between Iran and Israel could end the fighting, but that both countries may need to “fight it out.”

 

  • Israel killed the intelligence chief of Iran’s Revolutionary Guard Corps, the semi-official Tasnim news agency said. Iran hit sites in the cities of Tel Aviv and Haifa, while Israel also attacked Iran’s foreign ministry and Iranian oil and gas facilities, sparking concerns about potential oil supply disruptions.
  • Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu said Israel’s attacks created, for Iranians, an “opportunity to stand up” to their government. 
  • Unnamed U.S. officials told multiple news outlets that Trump rejected an Israeli plan to kill Iran’s top leader. Asked about the reports yesterday, Netanyahu said he was “not going to get into that.”
  • Attacks since Friday have damaged portions of two Iranian nuclear sites but did not immediately cause a spike in off-site levels of radiation, the head of the UN nuclear watchdog said today. He added that an advanced enrichment facility called Fordow, among other key Iranian facilities, appears undamaged.

 

Efforts at diplomacy.

 

  • World leaders are expected to discuss the conflict today at a Group of Seven (G7) summit in Canada.
  • Trump said he discussed the conflict with Russian President Vladimir Putin, who is considering mediating between Iran and Israel. Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan also said he is willing to play a role in facilitating an end to the conflict.
  • European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen and UK Prime Minister Keir Starmer spoke with Netanyahu, calling for deescalation. 
 
 

“The targets that were hit made it clear that Israel’s goal was broader than damaging Iran’s nuclear program. It is a risky strategy based on the assumption that if the Iranian regime is gone or greatly weakened, many of the problems that have bedeviled the Middle East may also be gone. The potential upside for Israel is significant—more security, increased prospects for regional integration, and the final foreclosure of a Palestinian state. But the downside is also significant if the regime survives and the Islamic Republic lives to fight another day.”

—CFR expert Steven A. Cook, Foreign Policy

 

Israel’s Strikes on Iran Could Change The Middle East

The view from a living room of a residential building that was destroyed in an attack by Israel on June 13, 2025, in Tehran, Iran.

Majid Saeedi/Getty Images

Israel’s actions have fundamentally reshaped the security landscape of the Middle East in the span of less than two years, CFR President Michael Froman writes in The World This Week.

 
 

Across the Globe

G7 kicks off. Beyond the Israel-Iran conflict, the Canada summit is also due to consider the ongoing war in Ukraine and the global economy. Reaching consensus as a full group is expected to be difficult, and many leaders have set up bilateral meetings. Canada and the United Kingdom agreed yesterday to set up a working group to expand bilateral trade, while Trump is due to meet with Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney today. 

 

U.S. political unrest. Police have arrested a suspect after four people—two Democratic state lawmakers and their spouses—were shot on Saturday in Minnesota. One lawmaker and her husband died. The suspect is charged with two counts of second-degree murder and two counts of second-degree attempted murder. Minnesota Governor Tim Walz said the killings appeared “to be a politically motivated assassination.” The shootings came the same day as a military parade to mark the 250th anniversary of the U.S. Army and nationwide protests against the Trump administration.

 

Nippon Steel deal. Trump approved Nippon Steel’s long-debated acquisition of U.S. Steel on Friday, with a twist: the U.S. government will hold an unusually influential stake in the company, known as a “golden share.” The terms of the deal require the U.S. president’s approval for actions such as changing the company’s sourcing and moving jobs outside of the United States, U.S. Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick posted on social media. Nippon and U.S. Steel did not comment.

 

Modi in Cyprus. India’s Narendra Modi held talks with Cypriot President Nikos Christodoulides in Nicosia today, marking the first visit by an Indian prime minister to the island nation in more than twenty years. He discussed plans to create a trade corridor with Europe that would pass through Cyprus, which is due to hold the six-month rotating presidency of the European Union beginning in early 2026. It is Modi’s first international trip since India’s recent hostilities with Pakistan; Cyprus’s neighbor, Turkey, has deepened ties to Islamabad.

 

Potential expansion of travel ban. The Trump administration is considering expanding its travel ban to include thirty-six additional countries, according to a State Department memo seen by the Washington Post. Most of the additional countries are in Africa. The memo reportedly listed concerns including high rates of visa overstays in the United States and unreliable issuance of identity documents. An unnamed State Department official told Reuters the department was “constantly reevaluating policies.”

 

Japan-EU security cooperation. Officials and private sector representatives from Japan and the European Union (EU) are holding first-of-their kind talks in Banff, Canada today to increase defense cooperation. Both sides seek to diversify their relationships from a heavy dependence on the United States. They are considering joint defense production under a new framework and plan to host a summit in July.

 

Xi in Kazakhstan. Chinese President Xi Jinping is holding talks with Central Asian leaders in Astana, Kazakhstan today for the second China-Central Asia Summit, following the inaugural gathering in 2023. This year’s summit saw Kazakh and Chinese firms sign deals worth over $24 billion, Kazakh Invest, a state company, said. The meeting comes after Kazakhstan’s foreign minister visited Washington and held talks with U.S. Secretary of State Marco Rubio late last week.


Saudi Arabia executes journalist. Prominent Saudi journalist Turki Al-Jasser was executed Saturday after being convicted on terrorism and treason charges, the official Saudi Press Agency said. He had been arrested in 2018 and his trial was not made public. Activist groups say that he was unfairly sentenced for questioning the regime; Al-Jasser had written about the Arab Spring, women’s rights, and corruption.

 
 

A Guide to Trump’s Latest Travel Ban

Displaced people ride an animal-drawn cart, following attacks on the Zamzam displacement camp, in the town of Tawila in Sudan on April 15, 2025.

File Photo/Stringer/Reuters

New rules that took effect June 9 imposed a full travel ban on twelve countries and partial restrictions on seven others, with some exceptions. Many of the affected countries are contending with crises at home, CFR’s Mariel Ferragamo writes in this article.

 
 

What’s Next

  • Today, the Paris Air Show begins.
  • Tomorrow, the Africa Energy Forum begins in Cape Town. 
  • Tomorrow, the executive board of UN Women begins its annual meeting in New York.
 
 

The Nippon Steel Merger and U.S. Policy Goals

US Steel Corporation workers rally outside the company's headquarters in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania, supporting the takeover by Japan's Nippon Steel, on September 4, 2024. United States Steel warned Wednesday it could shut its Pittsburgh headquarters.

Rebecca Droke/AFP/Getty Images

The billions of dollars that Nippon Steel has proposed to invest in modernizing U.S. Steel’s plans would likely save American jobs, CFR expert Matthew P. Goodman writes for RealEcon.

 
 

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